Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.371492 0.420140 0.474398 0.539704 0.616570 0.704658 0.813942
2024-10-27 0.292810 0.355770 0.432660 0.534712 0.668487 0.840563 1.083126
2024-11-03 0.257212 0.329370 0.423657 0.558592 0.751351 1.024263 1.454166
2024-11-10 0.228316 0.304292 0.408878 0.567750 0.811160 1.184750 1.833333
2024-11-17 0.202159 0.277987 0.386755 0.560121 0.841543 1.304079 2.178644
2024-11-24 0.180252 0.254329 0.364286 0.546819 0.858255 1.401988 2.513111
2024-12-01 0.165636 0.239383 0.352423 0.547490 0.896786 1.544248 2.976513
2024-12-08 0.156246 0.231129 0.349569 0.561958 0.961269 1.748575 3.643317
2024-12-15 0.146061 0.220393 0.341170 0.565108 1.004682 1.921074 4.306461
2024-12-22 0.134423 0.206089 0.325095 0.551857 1.013159 2.021192 4.829821
2024-12-29 0.128547 0.200713 0.323595 0.565313 1.078253 2.264497 5.860235
2025-01-05 0.121876 0.193326 0.317670 0.569207 1.123470 2.473072 6.900009
2025-01-12 0.113756 0.182911 0.305548 0.559757 1.138854 2.615758 7.826802
2025-01-19 0.106874 0.174143 0.295668 0.553751 1.161653 2.787146 8.978999
2025-01-26 0.104394 0.173043 0.300074 0.578552 1.264264 3.219210 11.509459
2025-02-02 0.100338 0.168682 0.297685 0.588092 1.330625 3.568510 14.020115
2025-02-09 0.094788 0.161081 0.288139 0.580118 1.349076 3.771827 16.024701
2025-02-16 0.089142 0.152887 0.276672 0.566224 1.348685 3.912666 17.852794
2025-02-23 0.085374 0.148034 0.271619 0.566924 1.390210 4.221391 21.091868
2025-03-02 0.083193 0.146098 0.272448 0.582036 1.477893 4.745053 26.603537
2025-03-09 0.080136 0.142202 0.268746 0.585327 1.530488 5.155040 32.034861
2025-03-16 0.075913 0.135689 0.258843 0.571485 1.525817 5.320508 35.704306
2025-03-23 0.074167 0.134078 0.259554 0.585540 1.616468 5.963976 45.571064